Data

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Press

Earning of production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonfarm payrolls in current and constant dollars

Indicator Status: Important indicator of labor market conditions, no status as indicator changes for future GDP
Frequency: Monthly
Release Date: Mid-month for the previous reference month
Source Agency: Bureau of Labor Statistics 

Length of average workweek of production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonfarm payrolls

Indicator Status: Leading indicator of future economic activity; one of the ten index of LEI components
Frequency: Monthly
Release Date: First week of the month following the reference month
Source Agency: Bureau of Labor Statistics

Leading economic indicator released monthly by the US Census Bureau

Indicator Status: Leading Indicator
Frequency: Monthly
Release Date: Released approximately mid-month of the previous month
Source Agency: US Census Bureau and US Department of Housing and Urban Development joint release

Comprehensive index derived by dividing the index of Industrial Production by an Index of Industrial Capacity

Indicator Status: Leading economic indicator for recessions, confident for recoveries
Frequency: Monthly
Release Date: Mid- Month (14th through 17th for the previous month
Source Agency: Federal Reserve System

Monthly measure of the public’s confidence in the health of the US economy as measured by The Conference Board

Indicator Status: Leading indicator that usually turns down before an expansion ends and then up before the subsequent recovery
Frequency: Monthly
Release Date: Last Tuesday of the reference month.
Source Agency: The Conference Board (TCB)

A Measure of the average change in price over time of a fixed market basket of goods and services for daily living

Indicator Status: Leading indicator for recessions, coincident for recoveries
Frequency: Quarterly
Release Date: Quarterly estimate’s updated near the 25th – 29th of each month, along with monthly GDP updates
Source Agency: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Best measure of the economy’s total economic output in real (inflation-adjusted dollars)

Indicator Status: Important indicator of labor market conditions, no status as indicator changes for future GDP
Frequency: Monthly
Release Date: Mid-month for the previous reference month
Source Agency: Bureau of Labor Statistics 

Leading indicator for recessions, lagging economic indicator for references.

Indicator Status: Leading indicator for recessions, lagging economic indicator for recoveries.
Frequency: Monthly
Release Date: Normally, the 1st Monday after the close of the reference, sometimes the last day of the reference month.
Source Agency: The Conference Board (TCB)

Leading economic indicator released monthly by the US Census Bureau

Indicator Status: Leading indicator of overall economic activity
Frequency: Monthly
Release Date: Released approximately mid-month for the previous month
Source Agency: US Census Bureau and US Department of Housing and Urban Development

Comprehensive index of industrial activity in 26 major industries covering approximately one-third of GDP

Indicator Status: Coincident economic indicator for both recessions and recoveries.
Frequency: Monthly
Release Date: Mid-month (14th – 17th) for the previous month.
Source Agency: Federal Reserve System

Fed’s “Broad,” “Major,” and “OITP” Currency indices, along with 23 other major currencies

Indicator Status: 23 Currency exchange rates along with “Major,” “Broad,” and “OITP” currency indices; no status as an indicator of future GDP.
Frequency: Weekly
Release Date: Weekly
Source Agency: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Key efficiency measure for the US economy, computed as an index of real dollar output divided by the index of labor input

Indicator Status: Important factor affecting long-term economic growth; no value as a predictor of business cycle activity
Frequency: Monthly
Release Date: Initial release 40 days (about 1 and a half months) after the close of the quarter, revised again 30 days later.
Source Agency: Bureau of Labor Statistics

Popular Conference Board Index of Leading Indicators (LEI) peaks about 14 – 21 months before a recession begins.

Indicator Status: Leading indicator of future changes in real (inflation-adjusted) GDP; series historically peaks 4 – 25 months (about 2 years) before the recession.
Frequency: Monthly
Release Date: About 4 weeks after the close of the reference month.
Source Agency: The Conference Board

A popular measure for the monthly change in total employment

Indicator Status: Leading indicator for recessions and recoveries.
Frequency: Monthly
Release Date: Mid-month for the previous month.
Source Agency: Bureau of Labor Statistics

Overall, it is the leading economic indicator that exhibits high monthly variability. Interpret with caution.

Indicator Status: Highly variable leading indicator for both recessions and recoveries
Frequency: Monthly
Release Date: Third or fourth week following the close of the reference month
Source Agency: US Census Bureau

Sometimes called “New Jobs Created.”

Indicator Status: Leading indicator for recessions and recoveries
Frequency: Monthly
Release Date: First Friday of every month
Source Agency: Bureau of Labor Statistics

Total number of nonfarm payroll jobs according to the BLS establishment survey

Indicator Status: Coincident for recessions, lagging for recoveries
Frequency: Monthly
Release Date: First Friday of the month for the previous month
Source Agency: Bureau of Labor Statistics.

The monthly press release from the BEA on personal income and outlays shows a percentage change from the previous month.

Indicator Status: Coincident indicator
Frequency: Daily
Release Date: End of month for the previous month
Source Agency: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Measure of average change over time in selling prices received by domestic producers for their output.

Indicator Status: No Status as an indicator of recessions, recoveries
Frequency: Monthly
Release Date: The second week following the close of the reference month.
Source Agency: Bureau of Labor Statistics

Earning of production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonfarm payrolls in current and constant dollars

Indicator Status: Important indicator of labor market conditions, no status as indicator changes for future GDP
Frequency: Monthly
Release Date: Mid-month for the previous reference month
Source Agency: Bureau of Labor Statistics 

Go to the Report on Business (ROB) first to find the PMI series indicating expansion and/or contraction of real GDP

Indicator status: Real GDP generally expands when PMI > 43.4 percent; the manufacturing sector is increasing PMI > 50.0 Percent.
Frequency: Monthly
Release Date: The Manufacturing Report on Business (ROB_ is released on the first business day of the month @ 10:00 am — follow links to the Latest ROB to find the PMI
Source Agency: “Report on Business” – Institute for Supply Management

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Economic Indicators

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